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Frozen bays gum up lake effect machine

By Pete MackinLAKE SUPERIOR – Ice has frozen between five to 10 miles out from Lake Superior's shoreline, and according to the National Weather Service, that could mean colder temperatures and less lake effect snow for some areas.Dave Pearson, a meteorologist with the Negaunee Weather Station said that the first thing those living close to shore may notice is a drop in temperature. The open lake has a warming effect on the shore region, but frozen it feels more like inland weather.The second is that lake effect out of the north is less likely the more ice there is, because there is less water to fuel the storm systems. That also means there is less Lake Superior water evaporating out of the watershed. Although a lot of Superior water falls as snow on the Upper Peninsula, most of the U.P. is within the Lake Michigan watershed.Because many of the U.P.'s storms have come from southern storms fueled by the Gulf of Mexico, there is a good amount of water (three inches to 10 inches of water content in the snow pack) that will find its way into the Great Lakes this spring that is not from the watershed. This could help low water levels in the lakes this year, depending on what further precipitation falls between now and spring.
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